gridlore: Doug looking off camera with a grin (Me - CAR -15)
[personal profile] gridlore
A few years ago I picked up The Future of War by George and Meredith Freeman. I'd never gotten around to reading it until today.

Imagine my feelings when I found not one, but two gross historical errors in the first few pages of the first chapter!

The first whopper is comment about the conquistadores "revolutionizing" warfare with their "primitive guns." By the time the Spanish were tap-dancing all over Mesoamerica, guns had been the staple of European war for almost 150 years.

Then the authors declare that guns came to dominate the battlefield because of their superior range. Bollocks! Any good bow or crossbow outranged early guns! A lonqbow is accurate and deadly out to several hundred feet, a distance not matched by guns until the late 19th century. Guns became dominant for one reason: it is far easier to train a musketman than it is to train a bowman.

I'll keep reading, but so far I'm unimpressed.

Date: 18 Apr 2005 04:00 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] isomeme.livejournal.com
Firearms very quickly came to outperform bow arms in energy delivered to the target, which was another factor in their rapid adoption. The only thing that really slowed firearm adoption were rate-of-fire and reliability problems, both of which gradually dwindled as technology improved.

Date: 18 Apr 2005 04:55 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] drewkitty.livejournal.com
I agree that the book sounds fishy. A lot of "military futurist" stuff is half Gosh-Wow-Think-Of-Possibilities and half "Oh, that's just history, no need to get it right, it's obsolete anyway."

But I must disagree with "guns became dominant for training reasons."

The primitive musket had a slower rate-of-fire, less range and less penetration power than either the longbow or the crossbow. (The former requires both high strength and long training; the latter requires neither, particularly with mechanical aids such as the windlass.) I've seen the math worked out in books by Van Crevald and Keegan, among others.

The crossbow's failure was largely due to cost of manufacture and difficulty with keeping a large flock of them maintained in a preindustrial society. (I should also mention that they were banned as "unchivalrous" because they gave a footman a fair chance against armored cavalry.)

The real reason why muskets became dominant lies not in ease of training -- as it took extensive drill to learn to clean, prime, load, aim and fire a musket, especially in the first century or so they were in use -- but in two other factors:

1) NOISE. Musket fire was LOUD and scared horses. It also scared the enemy's soldiers. Thus the premium placed on march order and discipline. A general (who could only command as far as his eyes could see) could assess the relative morale of a unit by observing how closely they stuck to marching drill. The morale effects of gunfire (both positive and negative, depending on who was doing the shooting) were significant.

2) POWER. The advancement from bow/crossbow to firearm was the addition of stored chemical energy. A longbowman needs to be able to draw up to 150 pounds and do so repeatedly for hours. The musket only requires a steady arm and the willingness to risk a broken shoulder from recoil. Exhaustion, which was a serious issue with the melee and muscle-powered weapons, became much less of a factor in infantry combat. (Of course, when the combat closed to 'cold steel,' the short pike called the bayonet became very important. Although one wonders why it took so long to invent the socket bayonet instead of the plug bayonet . . .)

The longbowman had to be a "sturdy" peasant, accustomed to hard labor and moderately well-fed. The musketeer could be (and often was) the dregs of the new urban streets or displaced sharecroppers -- or as in America, the prosperous middle-class merchant or yeoman farmer who worked more with mind than with hands.

I must also add that the longbow represented a design near the pinnacle of muscle-powered projectile weapons. The modern composite / compound bow with ceramics, pulleys and wire bowstrings is a bit better, but only incrementally.

The crude musket was the first step in a continuous advancement of firearms designs that made each successor more reliable, lighter, more accurate and longer-ranged, more lethal, removed drawbacks such as recoil and excessive smoke, and culminated in the next near-pinnacle, the high-powered semiautomatic rifle with optical sights firing a cased smokeless powder cartridge.

Please continue posting. I enjoy the occasional moment of dabbling in military history.

Date: 18 Apr 2005 15:53 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] todkaninchen.livejournal.com
The overall effectiveness of a similar sized group of archers versus a group of musketeers would generally be similar...

...however, beyond the additional time and practice to build up the marksmanship side of archery, you still have to consider the logistics of the situation.

Arrows, half of the weapon system, are both bulky and somewhat delicate. In addition, they usually take a bit of a skilled hand, in primitive forms, to maintain, repair, and construct.

If you really want them to hit anything, anyway.

Muskets, using simple molds, bulk lead, and bulk powder, require little training to maintain and are quite efficient to supply...


Two other things to think about:

1. Bartolemeno Girandoni, an Italian, produced several types of repeating pnuematic rifles around 1779 that had all the power of the musket, a comparatively noiseless firing, and were almost universally reviled with automatic death sentences for anyone caught using one on a battlefield.

2. The delayed adoption of rifles, some particularly accurate, except in minor use for several hundred years.

Date: 19 Apr 2005 23:07 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] drewkitty.livejournal.com
You've got a point about ammunition logistics.

Arrows require skillage at point-of-use, only some of which can be pushed off to manufacture. (If an archer can't fix a arrow fletching, he's not much of an archer.)

Gunpowder requires actual technology to manufacture -- charcoal, saltpeter, a grinding mill, and some brave guys wearing slippers -- but after being made, it only needs to be kept dry and poured when needed.

My understanding was that rifles were precision, virtually hand-made weapons for quite a long time, and therefore too expensive to use for large units. However, "skirmishers" were often equipped with them, at least in small quantities.

Of course, "Guns" in the "artillery" sense have arrows beat all hollow. A few artillery pieces in the right spot may not do that much actual killing, but can devastate enemy morale and turn the tide of battle. This may be what the authors were trying to get at with the conquistadores.

Date: 19 Apr 2005 23:32 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] gridlore.livejournal.com
Even muskets were devastating.

I'm looking for the earliest military use of rifles, and the dates keep getting pushed farther back. Industrial limitations prevented them from being used enmass earlier than about 1870.

Date: 18 Apr 2005 12:55 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] nsingman.livejournal.com
It does sound weak, but is it possible that the authors are sometimes referring to guns in their broader context, rather than simply as small-bore ammunition such as rifles and pistols? Artillery pieces such as cannons are guns, too, and can have far superior range to longbows.

Date: 18 Apr 2005 15:10 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] firestrike.livejournal.com
Thus the wince factor that results when "gun" is used as a blanket term to mean "any manner of chemical powered projectile weapon."

-M

You left out...

Date: 18 Apr 2005 13:48 (UTC)
seawasp: (Default)
From: [personal profile] seawasp
... and because they're cool. They go BOOM and throw fire and make smoke and stuff. A bow... goes "TWANG". See?

Re: You left out...

Date: 18 Apr 2005 16:06 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] gridlore.livejournal.com
Well, an M-16 goes "pop" but I see your point. Though having seen and heard a mass flight or arrows at a SCA event (about 150 archers let go at once) I can attest that sound is somewhat spooky.

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