gridlore: Doug looking off camera with a grin (US Flag)
[personal profile] gridlore
Daily now, we're being bombarded by the results of various polls conducted nationwide about the election.

Ignore them. Because, as most of you Americans should remember, we don't elect the President, the Electoral College does. We vote for the electors. In all but Maine and Nebraska these votes (one for each member of Congress [both houses]) are winner take all. Say Obama takes California by the slimmest of margins, 51/49. He still gets all 55 votes in the college. So the important thing is how the states are feeling.

Which is where electoral-vote.com comes in. Daily updates on how the states are leaning.

Click for www.electoral-vote.com

270 are needed to win.

Date: 9 Sep 2008 01:49 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] john-appel.livejournal.com
Let me also recommend the excellent www.fivethirtyeight.com. The main number cruncher is Nate Silver, whom you might of heard of as he's apparently a well-known sports statistics expert. He's doing some really nifty stuff analyzing the poll data and running a simulation model 10K times, sometimes several times a day, and finding some very interesting things.

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Douglas Berry

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